tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6043575339688108895.post3348816849200730336..comments2010-05-18T07:44:58.008-07:00Comments on Turkey NERD!!!: EMHD #2, 1/17/09Unknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger6125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6043575339688108895.post-16536265850220228462009-01-22T11:37:00.000-08:002009-01-22T11:37:00.000-08:00I happen to have picked up some tells on her based...I happen to have picked up some tells on her based on her body lean, her mouth, the way she holds her cards that would have probably led me to believe that she was way weaker than she imagined. However, given the table image and betting patterns, you may be correct there. Regardless, 99 has to bet out there because if you don't, you're praying to place 4th. You have to play to win. The likelihood of being dominated is very slim.EMGhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12724294769210679305noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6043575339688108895.post-31840698744646684802009-01-22T11:00:00.000-08:002009-01-22T11:00:00.000-08:00I think reading the angst for weakness there is si...I think reading the angst for weakness there is silly. I'd much rather go with the betting pattern, and say that she has a hand that's much better than Ace 8, and I'd rather be in a position to drive her out of the hand (which I can't, because if she raises I don't have enough chips to make her fold). A push after a player who's done nothing but fold every hand for the past 2 hours, hoping she'll fold because she looks angst-ridden, is not the optimal play. Optimal play is to fold, and find a better spot to get my chips in.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6043575339688108895.post-33386815673831871962009-01-22T10:35:00.000-08:002009-01-22T10:35:00.000-08:00Given how angst-ridden she was about it, you proba...Given how angst-ridden she was about it, you probably had to push there even if she raised. You probably put her on 2 big cards or a low pair. Given your stack size and the level, you probably can make that push if you're pretty sure you're racing. I happened to see her cards, and I think she played it terribly, regardless of what you have. As the chip leader, you raise, and if a short stack goes in, you're probably 50/50 to win the hand and expand the lead. If you get sucked out on or lose, you're still in good shape, and your image as a tight-solid player is intact.EMGhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12724294769210679305noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6043575339688108895.post-1217462259532765812009-01-22T10:31:00.000-08:002009-01-22T10:31:00.000-08:00Honestly though... had Terri raised there... I'd h...Honestly though... had Terri raised there... I'd have probably folded. She hadn't raised for a couple of hours... I'd have had to assume she had a much better hand than ace 8, and had to let it go. Then again, if she limped, I might push.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6043575339688108895.post-72457153394220856312009-01-22T08:10:00.000-08:002009-01-22T08:10:00.000-08:00If it played out the way it should have played, Te...If it played out the way it should have played, Terri would have raised with the 99, you would have gone all in, Jocko would have folded the KJ, and you would have sucked out. Theoretically, Jocko would have busted big the next hand running his KJ into AA, so Justin would have been big stack earlier, Jocko out in 7th, Tony healthy, and Terri crippled as well. It changes much of the dynamic.EMGhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12724294769210679305noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6043575339688108895.post-68737823492933049202009-01-22T07:02:00.000-08:002009-01-22T07:02:00.000-08:00The hand against Jocko was the only time I was all...The hand against Jocko was the only time I was all-in during the entire tournament (even though I was the short stack at the table from probably 15 players all the way down to six). Action folded around to me in the small blind. I had 10,500 in chips, blinds are 3,000/1,500, I looked down at A-8 of spades. All in, Jocko called with King jack. Flop was j-8-x with one spade, second spade on the turn, and I hit the third 8 on the river to win the hand. That put him down to about 2,000 in chips, and I sailed from there.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com